The Race For the Next Big Thing in HCV
May03

The Race For the Next Big Thing in HCV

All spring, biotech watchers have been anxiously awaiting Phase III data for two new drugs to treat Hepatitis C, Vertex Pharmaceutical’s telaprevir and Merck’s boceprevir. Both drugs are expected to be approved next year, ushering in a new era in the treatment of HCV. This week’s cover story takes a look beyond that first wave of new drugs for HCV to assess the pipeline of second-generation compounds. After all, improving cure rates by adding a direct-acting antiviral like telaprevir or boceprevir to the current standard of care (PEG-interferon/ribavirn) will be great, but creating a cocktail of small molecules that work on their own would be even better. As the article notes, everybody wants to be the Gilead Sciences of the HCV market. Gilead has cornered the HIV market with a pill that combines three antivirals in one, and is hoping to unroll a four-in-one pill soon. Only there's a catch: unlike in HIV, where there is a steady stream of new infections each year, the rate of new infections in HCV has slowed considerably. As such, there will be a flood of patients seeking treatment--and ideally be cured of the disease--over the next decade, after which industry observers expect the patient pool to shrink. Industry observers expect to see more licensing and M&A activity in the HCV world as companies with antivirals in the late stages of development seek partners with compounds with complementary activity to their own drugs. "Larger companies cannot afford to wait five to six years for clinical development," says Decision Resources analyst Alexandra Makarova. "Its not even a choice of saving money—either you are late for the bus or not. You have to partner with someobody developing drugs in phase II or late phase I." Some deals have already been made, enabling the first studies of combinations of small molecules in the absence of interferon and ribavirin: -Roche, which has a vested interested in maintaining its leading position in the HCV market, partnered with Pharmasset in 2004 for PSI-6130, a nucleoside polymerase inhibitor that the companies later turned into the prodrug R-7128. Two years later, it snagged InterMune’s ITMN-191, for $60 million upfront and up to $470 million in milestones. The companies will split sales of ITMN-191 down the middle. Roche has already conducted a small clinical trial in New Zealand testing the efficacy of using a combination of R-7128 and ITMN-191 together. -Gilead has had mixed luck in its deal-making: the company entered into a HCV development with Achillion Pharmaceuticals in 2004, but later killed development of GS-9132 after it had unwanted side effects. In 2008, Gilead ended a four-year HCV collaboration with Genelabs....

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